Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s Post

We are honored to announce our next #ACFrontPage event, “Elections 2024: Senator Murphy Chris Murphy on the future of Democratic foreign policy,” on Monday September 9, at 11:30 AM ET. Since World War II, the United States has played a leading role in upholding a rules-based international system. Now the United States confronts major challenges across the globe—from competition with an increasingly aggressive China and revisionist Russia, to worldwide economic turbulence and uncertainty around energy sources and supplies. It is vital that the next US president have a clear, long-term strategy for US security and prosperity. Following an introduction from Atlantic Council Board Director and RBC Capital Market Head of Global Commodity Strategy and MENA Research Helima Croft, Senator Murphy will discuss the most pressing international issues facing the country and how the next US president—as well as the next Congress—might respond to a demanding geopolitical agenda ahead of the 2024 US presidential election. He will lay out his expectations for a potential Kamala Harris presidency, as well as how he believes the United States should conceptualize its role in the world, position itself to counter authoritarian competitors and adversaries, and build a stable and prosperous global economy. This event is part of the Atlantic Council’s election-year event series, “Elections 2024: America’s Role in the World,” and supported by RBC Capital Markets. Register here to attend in person or virtually and hear more about these timely issues from Senator Murphy: https://bit.ly/3Z7IPSr

#FiscalNoteLive Webinar: May 14, 10 a.m. EDT — A record number of countries hold elections this year, and the U.S. general election in November is poised to be one of the most significant. Due to the United States’ influence on the global stage, this election is certain to make waves throughout the rest of the world. The stark differences between the presumed presidential candidates — current President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump — mean global organizations must consider the impacts on everything from the economy and trade to key foreign policy issues such as tensions in Iran, the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, and China relations. Many countries are already strategizing for possible policy revisions, changes to trade relationships, and impacts on global conflicts. To stay ahead, it’s essential to scenario-plan so you’re prepared for any outcome. In this webinar, you’ll learn about the global impact of U.S. elections in 2024. Our panel of experts will analyze how different regions, including Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East, will be affected by the election outcomes, potential fallout, and policy changes that may follow. Experts will discuss: ✅ The potential impact of the U.S. election on trade agreements and international relations ✅ The geopolitical implications of the possible election results on various regions around the world, including the EU, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East ✅ Actionable strategies to navigate the global landscape before and after the 2024 U.S. election 👉 Register now! https://fnlink.co/4aXxhnG #elections #election2024 #elections2024 #campaignsandelections

Xueyu and I have just published a new article on China-US Focus, delving into the implications of the upcoming U.S. presidential election on China-U.S. relations. Read the full article here: https://lnkd.in/gqykZV7y

The 2024 US Presidential Elections saw Donald Trump pulling off a historic win and is set to return to the White House again.   In this commentary for The Straits Times, IPS Special Adviser Tommy Koh discusses the outlook for US-Singapore and ASEAN relations under a second Trump administration, suggesting that while US-Singapore ties are likely to stay strong, ASEAN should temper its expectations.    Trump’s preference for bilateral engagements and protectionist policies could pose challenges for ASEAN, particularly in areas such as climate change, trade, and US-China relations.   Read more here: https://lnkd.in/gbisgYfy

Join the Scowcroft Center on Wednesday, October 30 at 2:00 p.m. ET for a virtual #ACFrontPage conversation featuring Congressman Mike Turner (R-OH-10), chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. After the event is opened by Atlantic Council Board Director and RBC Capital Markets Head of Global Commodity Strategy and MENA Research Helima Croft, Turner will outline the global challenges facing the next president and Congress. This special edition of #ACFrontPage is part of the Atlantic Council’s election-year event series, “Elections 2024: America’s Role in the World,” and supported by RBC Capital Markets. Since World War II, the United States has played a leading role on the world stage. Now, the United States confronts major challenges across the globe—from competition with an increasingly aggressive China and revisionist Russia, to widening conflict in the Middle East, to worldwide economic turbulence and uncertainty around energy sources and global trade. In this pivotal period, it is vital that the next commander-in-chief has a clear, long-term strategy for national security and prosperity. Ahead of the 2024 election, the chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence will join the Atlantic Council to discuss how a potential second Trump presidency and Republican Congress might address critical global issues, including the United States’ role in the great-power competition and steps to achieving a stable and prosperous global economy. This edition of #ACFrontPage will be livestreamed on Atlantic Council TV, YouTube, Facebook, and X. Register here to attend: https://bit.ly/3YjQ1Zr

First Trust Monday Morning Outlook "Elections Matter" Brian S. Wesbury - Chief Economist Robert Stein, CFA - Dep. Chief Economist April 15, 2024 Many, us included, see parallels between today's big issues and those of the 1960s and 1970s. Mistakes in both geopolitical and fiscal policies compound overtime, often leading to more mistakes. After Vietnam ended badly, US weakness likely encouraged terrorism. The 1972 Munich Massacre of Israel Olympic Athletes, Entebbe in 1976, and finally US hostages held in Iran from 1979 to 1981. At the same time both fiscal and monetary policy became unhinged. The result was stagflation, with inflation hitting and unemployment approaching double digits. We don't have room for a complete historical explanation, but Presidents Johnson, Nixon, Ford, and Carter each made mistakes in either foreign or fiscal policy that led to these problems. Then, Ronald Reagan was elected, and while his opponents claimed he would cause nuclear war, the exact opposite happened. Stagflation was ended, the Berlin wall fell, and the world entered a mostly peaceful era. Elections matter. To read the whole article click the link below!

In a 🆕 #GlobalSouth in the World Order commentary, Aude Darnal shares insights from Shuva Raha and Chris O. Ògúnmọ́dẹdé on their view of the U.S. presidential election and its potential impact on efforts to reform the world order. Read more below 👇 https://lnkd.in/dkqGADvu

Global Elections: Unpacking the Impact on Policy & Investment Opportunities (Webinar) Join your premier association for finance professionals for an engaging webinar as we delve into the nexus of global elections, geopolitics, and their ramifications on investment opportunities. This event will feature two distinguished panelists well-versed in geopolitical policy and election outcomes, an they will explore the implications of this year's elections worldwide. From the anticipated policy shifts to their profound impact on investment landscapes, our panelists will provide expert insights and strategies to navigate the evolving geopolitical terrain. Whether you're allocating assets, positioning your business, or simply curious about the intersection of geopolitics and investing, this webinar promises to decipher the complexities and potential investment opportunities in a dynamic global context. This event is brought to you by the CFA Society San Francisco Member Programming Advisory Council. https://lnkd.in/gedJ6Nzn

With U.S. Elections underway, let's revisit the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Geopolitics and Foreign Policy Department's recent digital report "The Global Impact of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election". Africa Program Director and Senior Fellow, Mvemba Phezo Dizolele as well as Senior Fellow Cameron Hudson contributed three essays on the impact of the election on U.S. relations with Africa to the digital report Find the full report here: https://lnkd.in/eTWWQqKu In his article "Resetting U.S. Engagement in the Democratic Republic of the Congo" Mvemba Phezo Dizolele discusses how the DRC will seek a new approach to U.S. relations with the incoming administration. With the expanding conflict in the country, Washington risks losing Congo to its adversaries if the next administration fails to make the right move. Read: https://lnkd.in/e6MutXSD With U.S.-South Africa relations being at their rockiest in a generation Cameron Hudson highlights the incoming administration's opportunity to repair frayed ties with the country which is important leader in the Global South. Read: https://lnkd.in/em7gmsp5 Finally, Dizolele and Hudson analyze the U.S.'s approach to the security and governance crises in the Sahel. They suggest that any incoming U.S. administration would be wise to reset its relations with the region and highlight Russia’s growing malign influence across the Sahel. Read: https://lnkd.in/edyaKUTw

💥 Our annual and uber-popular World of Worries event is back!!! 💥 Immerse yourself in all things related to political and geopolitical risks in Q4 (read US elections) and 2025! 🌍 #fitchsolutions #bmi #geopolitics #countryrisk