First Trust Monday Morning Outlook "Elections Matter" Brian S. Wesbury - Chief Economist Robert Stein, CFA - Dep. Chief Economist April 15, 2024 Many, us included, see parallels between today's big issues and those of the 1960s and 1970s. Mistakes in both geopolitical and fiscal policies compound overtime, often leading to more mistakes. After Vietnam ended badly, US weakness likely encouraged terrorism. The 1972 Munich Massacre of Israel Olympic Athletes, Entebbe in 1976, and finally US hostages held in Iran from 1979 to 1981. At the same time both fiscal and monetary policy became unhinged. The result was stagflation, with inflation hitting and unemployment approaching double digits. We don't have room for a complete historical explanation, but Presidents Johnson, Nixon, Ford, and Carter each made mistakes in either foreign or fiscal policy that led to these problems. Then, Ronald Reagan was elected, and while his opponents claimed he would cause nuclear war, the exact opposite happened. Stagflation was ended, the Berlin wall fell, and the world entered a mostly peaceful era. Elections matter. To read the whole article click the link below!
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In our latest blog, we look at the impact of this year’s global elections on the economy. The year 2024 has been labelled by #Time Magazine as “not just an election year [but] perhaps the election year,” as approximately a quarter of the world's population - are expected to be heading to the polls. Some of these elections are expected to have or have already had a significant #geopolitical impact, in turn affecting the markets. To find out more, please read our article here #redhatgroup #elections #markets https://lnkd.in/e-X3xsXM
2024 Elections and Their Impact on the Global Economy
https://redhatcapital.co.uk
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The 2024 #US Presidential #elections is just a few days away and #investors globally are piling into the US #dollar and betting on rising volatility. The crucial US elections is set to be one of the most impactful events for global markets and economies this year going into next https://lnkd.in/gNZR3eWt
How will US elections affect the stock market, economy? Explained
economictimes.indiatimes.com
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The health of the U.S. #economy appears to have influenced whether the incumbent party retained the presidency. This outcome seems to affect market volatility before and after past U.S. presidential #elections. Read more from Thomas Poullaouec, Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, Asia Pacific and Nathan Wang, Solutions Analyst, Multi-Asset Solutions, Asia Pacific. #TRowePrice Investment involves risk. Please view here for Important Information. https://lnkd.in/eEZ_dBZ
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The health of the U.S. #economy appears to have influenced whether the incumbent party retained the presidency. This outcome seems to affect market volatility before and after past U.S. presidential #elections. Read more from Thomas Poullaouec, Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, Asia Pacific and Nathan Wang, Solutions Analyst, Multi-Asset Solutions, Asia Pacific. #TRowePrice Investment involves risk. Please view here for Important Information. https://lnkd.in/gfdgnbeD
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European elections loom: Key challenges for the new policymakers include raising productivity, increasing industrial investment towards key industries, and improving fiscal coordination to prevent widening economic gaps with the US. https://lnkd.in/dh5RJHek #EUelections #Business #investment
European elections loom: The key policy priorities for Europe
euronews.com
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Geopolitical uncertainty, #Mexico & U.S. #elections, USMCA #trade disputes and more, it’s clear the challenges facing North America in the coming months will be in the news . I discuss in my latest newsletter below:
U.S. & Mexico Elections: It's race time! - The Honorable Tony Garza
https://tonygarza.com
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With nearly 70 national elections slated for 2024 representing almost half of the world’s population, we believed this year would challenge investors with uncertainty and persistent market volatility. That has certainly been the case in markets across the globe, and with the elections in the U.K., France and the U.S. still on the horizon we don’t expect that to change. But there are opportunities to invest wisely across asset classes in this environment. To see what our Global Investment Committee recommends, check out their Mid-Year Outlook. https://ter.li/3r432y
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This year's elections across the world will account for over 40% of the world's population (Bloomberg). Read our research team's piece below to understand how these elections could impact global trade, economic policies, and social changes. https://lnkd.in/gk5H8Xqz
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#FiscalNoteLive Webinar: May 14, 10 a.m. EDT — A record number of countries hold elections this year, and the U.S. general election in November is poised to be one of the most significant. Due to the United States’ influence on the global stage, this election is certain to make waves throughout the rest of the world. The stark differences between the presumed presidential candidates — current President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump — mean global organizations must consider the impacts on everything from the economy and trade to key foreign policy issues such as tensions in Iran, the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, and China relations. Many countries are already strategizing for possible policy revisions, changes to trade relationships, and impacts on global conflicts. To stay ahead, it’s essential to scenario-plan so you’re prepared for any outcome. In this webinar, you’ll learn about the global impact of U.S. elections in 2024. Our panel of experts will analyze how different regions, including Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East, will be affected by the election outcomes, potential fallout, and policy changes that may follow. Experts will discuss: ✅ The potential impact of the U.S. election on trade agreements and international relations ✅ The geopolitical implications of the possible election results on various regions around the world, including the EU, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East ✅ Actionable strategies to navigate the global landscape before and after the 2024 U.S. election 👉 Register now! https://fnlink.co/4aXxhnG #elections #election2024 #elections2024 #campaignsandelections
The Global Impacts of the 2024 US Election
fiscalnote.com
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As we approach the EU elections on June 9th, there is growing tension in Europe as Emmanuel Macron seems to be steering the region towards a potential World War III scenario. Macron, facing a 68% disapproval rating, appears to be using the specter of war to maintain his grip on power, much like his American counterpart Biden. #9th #Biden #Conflict #Election #June #Macron #Seek #upcoming
Macron and Biden Seek Conflict Before Upcoming EU June 9th Election
https://www.extremeinvestornetwork.com
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