The Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview!
Denver Broncos (9-5) vs Los Angeles Chargers (8-6)
Game Summary | Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview
- Thursday Night Football: 8:15 PM
- Sofi Stadium
- Field Type: Turf
- Weather: Indoors
- Los Angeles Chargers are favored (-3) with an Over/Under of 42.5
- Stream on Prime Video
| Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBs | Def. Rank Vs. RBs | Def. Rank Vs. WRs | Def. Rank Vs. TEs | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | 1-HI Sfty% | 2-HI Sfty% | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
| Broncos | 7th | 12th | 3rd | 13th | 35.7 | 61.1 | 55.1 | 44.9 | 61.4 | 24 | 202.7 | 108.4 |
| Chargers | 14th | 5th | 21st | 3rd | 32.7 | 59.4 | 50.8 | 49.2 | 57.6 | 21 | 196.4 | 105.8 |
Quarterbacks | Week 16 Thursday Preview
| Denver Broncos | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 16 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Bo Nix | 12th | Low QB1 | 90% | 19.5 | 19 | 33.4 | 5.4 | 235.6 | 61 | 53.8 | 26.9 | 8.1 | 12 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 16 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Justin Herbert | 18th | Mid QB2 | 75% | 17.8 | 14.8 | 28.5 | 3.9 | 227.4 | 64.2 | 43.1 | 30.8 | 9.1 | 8.8 |
- The Broncos have allowed just 3 QBs to finish with more than 1 passing touchdown.
- The Chargers have allowed a QB1 performance in 3 of their last 5 games.
Running Backs | Week 16 Thursday Preview
| Denver Broncos | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Javonte Williams | 36th | Low RB3 | 71% | 9.5 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 35.1 | 55% | 10.6 | 47.6 | 42.2 | 2.3 | 0.14 | 2.01 | 1.54 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | 53rd | Outside the Top 48 | 50% | 5.8 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 23.5 | 28% | 4.5 | 14.3 | 17.2 | 5.7 | 0.21 | 2.08 | 2.38 |
| Audric Estime | 84th | Outside the Top 48 | 48% | 2.4 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 12.4 | 14% | 1.2 | 0.0 | 14.9 | 2.2 | 0.15 | 3.00 | 1.43 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Gus Edwards | 60th | Low RB4 | 50% | 4.4 | 5.8 | 8.7 | 24.0 | 38% | 1.1 | 25.0 | 42.1 | 0 | 0.14 | 2.14 | 1.28 |
| Kimani Vidal | 66th | High RB4 | 68% | 4.0 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 9.1 | 33% | 3.2 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 0.12 | 2.42 | 0.82 |
- The Broncos have kept opposing RBs under 60 rushing yards in 6 of the last 8 games.
- The Chargers have allowed a 100-yard rusher in 3 of the last 4 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 16 Thursday Preview
| Denver Broncos | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Courtland Sutton | 27th | High WR2 | 89% | 13.7 | 19.4 | 86% | 8.1 | 23.8 | 29.8 | 18.2 | 163 | 14 | 31.9 | 34.3 | 13.1 |
| Devaughn Vele | 73rd | Outside the Top 60 | 42% | 7.7 | 5.5 | 53% | 4.6 | 13 | 21.1 | 70.1 | 116 | 2 | 15.9 | 28.3 | 9 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Joshua Palmer | 80th | Outside the Top 60 | 40% | 6.9 | 6.9 | 69% | 4.2 | 13.1 | 24.7 | 32.7 | 73 | 3 | 16.3 | 33.7 | 15.4 |
| Ladd McConkey | 26th | Low WR2 | 82% | 13.9 | 17.3 | 73% | 6.8 | 23.3 | 27.1 | 73.3 | 283 | 5 | 28.9 | 37.9 | 15.4 |
| Quentin Johnston | 44th | Low WR5 | 52% | 10.7 | 8.6 | 71% | 5.3 | 18.4 | 23 | 9.8 | 237 | 6 | 23.4 | 31.4 | 13 |
| WIll Dissly (TE) | TE25 | Mid TE2 | 65% | 7.0 | 4.2 | 57% | 4.2 | 14.4 | 17.4 | 31.9 | 251 | 0 | 14.1 | 15.4 | 7.5 |
| Stone Smartt (TE) | TE59 | Mid TE2 | 65% | 2.2 | 4.4 | 16% | 1.3 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 35.8 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 9.1 | 9.8 |
- The Broncos have allowed 3 WRs over 100 yards in the last 3 games.
- Denver has allowed a TE over 45 yards in 3 of the previous 5 games.
- The Chargers have allowed a 95-yard receiver in 3 of the last 5 games.
Houston Texans (9-5) vs Kansas City Chiefs (13-1)
Game Summary | Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview
- Saturday Football: 1:00 PM
- GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- Field Type: Grass
- Weather: Mainly Sunny
- Kansas City Chiefs are favored (-3) with an Over/Under of 41.5
- Stream on NBC/Peacock
| Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBs | Def. Rank Vs. RBs | Def. Rank Vs. WRs | Def. Rank Vs. TEs | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | 1-HI Sfty% | 2-HI Sfty% | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
| Texans | 10th | 4th | 27th | 12th | 25.3 | 70.2 | 53.2 | 46.8 | 63.4 | 23.4 | 212.8 | 111.4 |
| Chiefs | 12th | 1st | 12th | 28th | 34.7 | 58.2 | 38.6 | 61.4 | 66.4 | 23.5 | 224.1 | 112.1 |
Quarterbacks | Week 16 Saturday Preview
| Houston Texans | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 16 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| C.J. Stroud | 26th | Low QB2 | 65% | 16.2 | 17.2 | 32.6 | 3.5 | 246.6 | 61 | 46.2 | 37.6 | 8.2 | 11 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 16 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Patrick Mahomes | 11th | Mid QB2 | 78% | 19.7 | 22.3 | 35.9 | 3.7 | 277.1 | 61.4 | 59 | 30.4 | 6.8 | 8 |
- The Texans have an interception in 5- straight games. (11 total in that span)
- The Chiefs have allowed just 5 passing touchdowns over the last 5 games.
Running Backs | Week 16 Saturday Preview
| Houston Texans | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Joe Mixon | 2nd | High RB2 | 89% | 20.2 | 14 | 19.7 | 58.5 | 67% | 12.6 | 84.6 | 82.3 | 4.6 | 0.12 | 2.39 | 1.81 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Isiah Pacheco | 33rd | Low RB2 | 79% | 10.3 | 6.6 | 13.6 | 17.4 | 54% | 8.0 | 50.0 | 47.6 | 1.5 | 0.10 | 1.85 | 2.06 |
| Samaje Perine | 59th | Outside the Top 48 | 45% | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 26% | 5.6 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.06 | 2.00 | 2.82 |
| Kareem Hunt | 28th | Mid RB4 | 64% | 12.0 | 6.3 | 16.4 | 46.0 | 53% | 6.1 | 83.3 | 63.3 | 1.1 | 0.08 | 1.98 | 1.65 |
- The Texans have allowed an RB16 or better finish in 3 of the last 5 games.
- The Chiefs have allowed a rushing touchdown in 4 of the last 5 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 16 Saturday Preview
| Houston Texans | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Nico Collins | 2nd | High WR1 | 96% | 19.3 | 19.3 | 69% | 8.8 | 24.3 | 29.7 | 23.2 | 325 | 10 | 30.9 | 29.4 | 19.3 |
| Tank Dell | 55th | Low WR4 | 63% | 9.1 | 6.5 | 70% | 5.7 | 16.7 | 30.2 | 27 | 157 | 5 | 19.5 | 31.7 | 15.3 |
| Dalton Schultz (TE) | TE26 | Mid TE2 | 68% | 6.6 | 8.1 | 80% | 4.9 | 14.2 | 27.1 | 27.7 | 173 | 1 | 14.4 | 21.5 | 5.7 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| DeAndre Hopkins | 49th | Low WR3 | 70% | 9.8 | 12.3 | 51% | 4.4 | 16.1 | 24.1 | 26.9 | 100 | 7 | 21.9 | 25.5 | 10 |
| Xavier Worthy | 46th | Mid WR4 | 65% | 10.2 | 12.2 | 66% | 5.7 | 15.1 | 29.4 | 33.6 | 288 | 5 | 19.7 | 21.6 | 5.7 |
| Travis Kelce (TE) | TE7 | Mid TE1 | 80% | 11.8 | 10.6 | 84% | 8.2 | 22.0 | 5.6 | 10.1 | 29 | 0 | 0.3 | 14.3 | 4.8 |
| Noah Gray (TE) | TE28 | Mid TE2 | 65% | 7.9 | 12.3 | 61% | 3.3 | 8.7 | 17.1 | 31 | 201 | 5 | 9 | 10.4 | 4.5 |
- The Texans have allowed a WR1 to produce 75 or more yards in 3 of the last 4 games.
- Houston has allowed a TE1 finish in 4 of the previous 5 games.
- The Chiefs have allowed at least 1 receiver over 75 yards in 4-straight games.
- Kansas City has allowed just 1 TE1 performance in the last 6 games.
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) vs Baltimore Ravens (9-5)
Game Summary | Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview
- Saturday Football: 4:30 PM
- M&T Stadium
- Field Type: Grass
- Weather: Sun & Clouds
- Baltimore Ravens are favored (-6.5) with an Over/Under of 44.5
- Stream on FOX
| Team | Def. Rank Vs. QBs | Def. Rank Vs. RBs | Def. Rank Vs. WRs | Def. Rank Vs. TEs | Def. 2 Man % | Def. Zone % | 1-HI Sfty% | 2-HI Sfty% | Offensive Plays Ran | Points Per Game | Pass Yards Per Game | Rush Yards per Game |
| Steelers | 3rd | 10th | 13th | 16th | 31.4 | 65.9 | 67.4 | 32.6 | 63.6 | 24 | 198.9 | 126.6 |
| Ravens | 28th | 7th | 31st | 21st | 30.7 | 65.1 | 53.8 | 46 | 61.8 | 29.9 | 245.6 | 178.4 |
Quarterbacks | Week 16 Saturday Preview
| Pittsburgh Steelers | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 16 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Russell Wilson | 13th | Low QB2 | 68% | 19.3 | 19.8 | 29.4 | 3.8 | 246.1 | 62.6 | 50.5 | 33.1 | 8.3 | 11.9 |
| Baltimore Ravens | |||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (6 PPT) | Week 16 Ranking | Confidence Start Rating | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | A/G | SCRM | YDS/G | 1 Read % | YAC % | Press % | ADOT | CHK % |
| Lamar Jackson | 1st | High QB1 | 96% | 30.3 | 34.0 | 28.9 | 8.4 | 309.6 | 61.9 | 50.7 | 33.5 | 9.2 | 7.4 |
- The Steelers have allowed 3-straight games of 2-or-more passing touchdowns.
- The Ravens have kept opposing QBs under 220 passing yards in the last 4 games.
Running Backs | Week 16 Saturday Preview
| Pittsburgh Steelers | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Najee Harris | 27th | High RB3 | 75% | 12.5 | 11.7 | 16.4 | 50.3 | 52% | 9.0 | 44.0 | 54.1 | 4.4 | 0.21 | 2.37 | 1.52 |
| Jaylen Warren | 44th | Mid Rb3 | 74% | 7.6 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 20.0 | 43% | 9.8 | 13.6 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 0.19 | 2.47 | 1.60 |
| Baltimore Ravens | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | ATT/G | ATT % | Off. Snaps/G | TGT % | i5% | i20% | EXP Run % | MTF/ATT | YACO/ATT | YBCO/ATT |
| Derrick Henry | 6th | Low RB1 | 90% | 18.6 | 11.6 | 18.1 | 58.0 | 55% | 3.5 | 88.9 | 62.9 | 7.1 | 0.21 | 3.08 | 2.72 |
| Justice Hill | 39th | Low RB3 | 70% | 8.9 | 12.7 | 3.2 | 10.3 | 44% | 11.6 | 5.6 | 8.6 | 4.4 | 0.13 | 3.09 | 1.20 |
- The Steelers allowed 5 RB1 performances from Weeks 8 to 13 but, over the last 2 weeks, have kept opposing running backs outside of top-24 finishes. (Nick Chubb & Saquon Barkley)
- The Ravens have allowed a rushing touchdown in 4 of the last 5 games.
Pass Catchers | Week 16 Saturday Preview
| Pittsburgh Steelers | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| George Pickens | 34th | Low WR2 | 81% | 13.0 | 12.6 | 78% | 7.5 | 25.1 | 27.9 | 25.4 | 219 | 13 | 34.4 | 27.3 | 13.5 |
| Van Jefferson | 111th | Outside the Top 60 | 35% | 3.9 | 5.1 | 65% | 2.3 | 8 | 20 | 23.9 | 77 | 3 | 10.1 | 13 | 6 |
| Calvin Austin | 77th | Mid WR5 | 55% | 7.4 | 10.2 | 49% | 3.4 | 11.3 | 19.1 | 61.2 | 146 | 4 | 14.9 | 25.6 | 5.7 |
| Pat Freiermuth (TE) | TE17 | High TE2 | 70% | 9.3 | 13.4 | 69% | 4.0 | 13.3 | 23.4 | 52.3 | 232 | 1 | 15.3 | 17.6 | 3.8 |
| Baltimore Ravens | |||||||||||||||
| Player | Fantasy Rank (PPR) | Week 16 Ranking | Start % | FP/G | FP/G Last 4 Weeks | Off. Snaps/G | TGT/G | TGT % | RTE/G | SLOT RTE % | YAC | EZTGT | 1READ % | MAN WIN RATE | ZONE WIN RATE |
| Zay Flowers | 29th | High WR3 | 79% | 13.3 | 10.9 | 78% | 7.2 | 24.7 | 28.9 | 36.5 | 402 | 7 | 29.6 | 38.3 | 10.4 |
| Rashod Batemon | 35th | Low WR4 | 63% | 10.4 | 11.8 | 70% | 4.3 | 13.8 | 25 | 8 | 145 | 7 | 14.8 | 29.8 | 13.8 |
| Mark Andrews (TE) | TE9 | High TE2 | 70% | 10.3 | 15.0 | 59% | 3.8 | 13.1 | 19.7 | 64.9 | 141 | 6 | 14.4 | 34.2 | 5.1 |
| Isaiah Likely (TE) | TE23 | Low TE2 | 50% | 7.5 | 6.2 | 57% | 3.8 | 12.9 | 16.5 | 54.2 | 239 | 7 | 14.5 | 21.7 | 4.4 |
- The Steelers have allowed opposing WR1s to have 60 yards with a touchdown in the last 3 games.
- Pat Freiermuth has averaged just 33 yards in 6 career games versus the Ravens.
- The Ravens have allowed opposing WR1s to have 80 or more receiving yards in 6 of the last 7 games.
- Mark Andrews has never scored against the Steelers in his career.
More Dynasty Content
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Glossary of Terms | Week 16 Thursday/Saturday Preview
| Quarterbacks | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| YPA | Passing Yards per Attempt |
| SCRM | QB Rush Attempts per Game |
| YDS/G | Yards Per Game |
| First Read % | Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws |
| YAC % | Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch |
| Press % | Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure |
| ADOT | Average Depth of Target |
| Running Backs | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| ATT/G | Attempts per Game |
| ATT % | Team Carry Share |
| TGT % | Team Target Share |
| Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps per Game |
| i5 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries |
| i20 % | Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries |
| EXP RUN % | Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards |
| MTF/ATT | Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt |
| YACO/ATT | Yards After Contact per Attempt |
| YBCO/ATT | Yards Before Contact per Attempt |
| Pass Catchers | |
| FP/G | Fantasy Points per Game |
| Off. Snaps/G | Offensive Snaps Per Game |
| TGT/G | Targets Per Game |
| TGT % | Team Target Share |
| RTE/G | Routes Run Per Game |
| SLOT RTE % | Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot |
| YAC | Yards After the Catch |
| EZTGT | Endzone Targets |
| 1READ % | Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets |
| MAN WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
| ZONE WIN RATE | Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score |
| Matchup Score | A weighted score taking into account league average CB play vs. the totality of the CBs a WR is slated to face in a given matchup + how much we expect him to face each CB individually, not just the one he will see the most |
| Advantage Score | A weighted score taking into account the skill gap between a WR and the totality of CBs he’s expected to face. A player of high caliber may have a poor matchup score but still have a strong advantage score and vice versa. |
