Brad Case, PhD, CFA, CAIA

Chief Economist

View articles by Brad Case, PhD, CFA, CAIA

My Out-On-A-Limb Prediction of No Rate Cut

My Out-On-A-Limb Prediction of No Rate Cut

September 17, 2024

34 likes11 comments

More Informative than GDP

More Informative than GDP

March 28, 2024

9 likes3 comments

Middleburg Communities Commentary on Current Market Conditions Was Spot On

Middleburg Communities Commentary on Current…

February 2, 2024

17 likes2 comments

Behind the Scenes: How Middleburg Communities Does Quarterly Updates to our Decision Support Analyses

Behind the Scenes: How Middleburg…

January 2, 2024

43 likes6 comments

Probability of a #Recession has Receded Again, Thanks to Multifamily #Construction Starts

Probability of a #Recession has Receded…

December 20, 2023

32 likes1 comment

RENTING IS USUALLY A BETTER INVESTMENT THAN BUYING

RENTING IS USUALLY A BETTER INVESTMENT THAN…

December 15, 2023

70 likes15 comments

Thinking Carefully about Volatility and Correlation

Thinking Carefully about Volatility and…

June 23, 2023

51 likes2 comments

Vornado's Dividend Suspension Reminiscent of 2008-09 Liquidity Crisis

Vornado's Dividend Suspension Reminiscent of…

April 27, 2023

10 likes2 comments

Big Decline in "Real" Inflation Means Possible End to Rate Increases

Big Decline in "Real" Inflation Means…

January 12, 2023

36 likes6 comments

Recession Probability Increases—but to just 22%--Despite Strong Employment Report

Recession Probability Increases—but to just…

January 6, 2023

18 likes

Ground Breaking Developments: Middleburg Communities' View of the Macroeconomic Situation as of August 11

Ground Breaking Developments: Middleburg…

August 12, 2022

22 likes2 comments

HAS OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSING BECOME A MARKET BUBBLE?

HAS OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSING BECOME A MARKET…

March 31, 2022

17 likes

Middleburg's Outlook for Interest Rates and their Effect on Rental Housing Investments in 2022

Middleburg's Outlook for Interest Rates and…

January 5, 2022

20 likes2 comments

Amanda Gorman's Wonderful Poem "The Hill We Climb"

Amanda Gorman's Wonderful Poem "The Hill We…

January 21, 2021

11 likes1 comment

Private Equity Basics #58: “Investors may Underestimate the Impact of Fees,” which “Amount to 7 percent per year”

Private Equity Basics #58: “Investors may…

October 6, 2020

7 likes11 comments

Private Equity Basics #57: Evidence that “Private Equity Volatility is Similar to Public Equity Volatility Despite its Higher Leverage”

Private Equity Basics #57: Evidence that…

October 5, 2020

5 likes1 comment

Private Equity Basics #56: Evidence that “US Buyout Funds have Historically Outperformed Public Market Indexes”

Private Equity Basics #56: Evidence that “US…

October 5, 2020

2 likes1 comment

Private Equity Basics #55: The Truth is that “The PE Market as a Whole Cannot Exhibit Excess Returns”

Private Equity Basics #55: The Truth is that…

October 2, 2020

4 likes9 comments

Private Equity Basics #54: The Truth is that “The Probability that a GP will Repeat Top-Quartile Performance is Now No Better than Random”

Private Equity Basics #54: The Truth is that…

October 2, 2020

1 like1 comment

Private Equity Basics #53: The Truth is that “Top-Quartile Performance Does Not Necessarily Imply Top-Quartile Skills”

Private Equity Basics #53: The Truth is that…

October 2, 2020

3 likes6 comments