Musings on My Trip to NYC Last Week - The 80/20 rule.
▪️Almost every restaurant was packed - even Tuesday and Wednesday - tables were difficult to reserve.
▪️ Museum lines started early.
▪️Hotels were overbooked.
We waited >5 minutes for every elevator ride to our floor.
▪️Streets were bustling.
▪️Could not find Broadway tickets for Our Town or The Roommate. I thought that would be easy.
▪️Almost every store owner I talked to (and I talk to them all) said they expect 2024 to be a better year than 2023. I believe them.
▪️Walmart, Dollar, Big Lots, Walgreens are closing stores but
Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, Gucci, Chanel, Hermes, Cartier are crowded.
▪️Red Lobster,
Tijuana Flats, Buca di Beppo and other restaurant chains have filed for bankruptcy this year and closed hundreds of restaurants. Denny’s said this week it’s closing 150 restaurants. The Palm, Ruth's Chris Steak House, The Capital Grille, Eddie V's Prime Seafood, are packed.
▪️Same theme for “second tier” cities like Cleveland, Ohio, or Durham, NC.
So when recession-obsessed economists discuss the overleveraged consumer they might be ignoring the fact that the top 20% are doing the vast majority of buying - at the high end stores. The bottom 80% of buyers are small potatoes.
The top 20% of spenders are not overly leveraged. Much of the bottom 80% most likely are.
Visits to the Statue of Liberty Continue at 2023 Levels, No Signs of a Slowdown - Apollo Academy
Keeping rates where they are motivates the 80% to save - and that's OK.
To those clamoring for lower interest rates - be careful what you wish for.
#riskmanagement
#money
#interestrates
Marketing Professional
3wSo Glad to hear the grand opening celebration went well! Best wishes! 😊