PauseAI’s Post

Wrote an in-depth post about why pausing AI might not be a far off plan. https://lnkd.in/dPCC2YZe Here are the key takeaways: 1) We might not have enough time to solve alignment. Leaders of labs are talking about timelines of less than five years. AI experts also don’t rule out short timelines, and Metaculus is even more pessimistic. Work left to solve alignment could be much longer. 2) The U.S. public supports a pause on AI development. According to several surveys, this seems quite clear. 3) There are promising case studies of public opposition overcoming strong industries. These include GM foods in Europe in the 90s, and Germany opposing nuclear energy after the 2011 Fukushima disaster. 4) There are several proposals for a global pause and many of them could seem more promising than the default "pause everything now" setup. Options include conditional pausing, pausing everywhere except for narrow use by governments, or except by a well-coordinated secure international facility (‘CERN for AI’). 5) Current Chinese discourse on AI safety shows that they are aware of short-term concerns and might even be ahead of the US in regulating AI. Longer-term or more catastrophic concerns remain less clear. 6) Finally, complete global coordination for pausing may not be immediately necessary. Overall I think this is an important problem with lots of room to take in more people to support the cause! 🔥