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𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐚'𝐬 𝐕𝐢𝐞𝐰 𝐨𝐧 𝐑𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐞 𝘌𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘰𝘮𝘪𝘤 𝘐𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵: #Trade Partnership: EU is China's second largest trading partner, with significant trade volume. #Investment Opportunities: Unified market of over 450 million people attracts Chinese investment in EU. 𝘎𝘦𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴: #Multilateralism: EU's support for multilateralism and peacebuilding efforts is valued by Beijing. Strategic #Autonomy: China supports EU's efforts to maintain strategic autonomy and contribute to international security. 𝘎𝘭𝘰𝘣𝘢𝘭 𝘋𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘭𝘰𝘱𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘐𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦: New #Initiative: China's proposal for a Global Development Initiative aims to strengthen global connectivity and multilateralism. #Collaboration with #EU: China seeks collaboration with EU through Global Gateway projects to reduce development gap. 𝐀𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐅𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝘍𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: #Economic Imbalance: EU concerns over trade deficit and dominance in sectors like electric vehicles. #Geopolitical Changes: Disagreements over China's position on conflicts like the Ukraine war. 𝘊𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: #Climate #Change: Both sides prioritize reducing emissions and promoting clean energy. Circular #Economy: Common interest in circular economy fosters dialogue and cooperation. #Global #Security: Expectations for EU to express independent views and contribute to peace and stability. 𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐖𝐢𝐧 𝐁𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝘊𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘋𝘪𝘢𝘭𝘰𝘨𝘶𝘦: #Enhanced #Communication: China aims to resume dialogue across various levels to reduce misunderstandings. #Industrial #Policies: Willingness to discuss industrial development with EU to address concerns and avoid trade retaliation. 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐎𝐮𝐭𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝘚𝘵𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘊𝘰𝘯𝘯𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴: #Importance of #Communication: Despite elections, China emphasizes the importance of stable connections and exchanges with EU. Long-term #Perspective: Trade volume and common interests serve as the foundation for long-term cooperation. #Expectations: China expects pragmatic and comprehensive development of EU-China relations beyond electoral outcomes. Source: Dingding Chen in ISPI - Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale Graph: Macrobond Financial

The new Middle East, unconstrained by ongoing great power conflicts, is looking to capitalize on enthusiasm from Central Asian leaders eager to diversify their economies away from historical reliance on China and Russia. Such investing brings with it a host of business and geopolitical tensions, though: interregional competition may arise due to these investments, and the first movers of this new wave of business activity must be aware of what their investment strategies mean for great power politics. https://lnkd.in/gvy2pwUz #centralasia #middleeast #investment #battleground #china #russian #economy #diversification #politics #business #geopolitical #tensions #interregional #competition

The Global Special Report breaks down many buzzwords and phenomena attached to the business landscape in China, such as "de-risking," "Two Sessions," and "counter-espionage laws." This report is oriented toward helping foreign businesses develop viability strategies based on the security risk trends we have identified. Honoured to have worked on this report with the sharp minds of Ziv Reuben, Nischitha Suresh, Tamar Abramson!

Are geopolitical tensions changing global foreign direct investment flows? Flows between the US and China are rapidly declining, while US investment in Latin America and Europe is growing. Flows to/from China are falling sharply. True, China is still investing in Eastern Europe. Developed countries are increasingly excluding China from their not only political but also business orbit. #China #USA #investments #global #trade #economy

As global leaders accuse Beijing of enabling the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, we anticipate potential shifts towards a more confrontational stance regarding China's economic policies. This geopolitical maneuver carries significant implications for international trade and diplomacy. In navigating these complex dynamics, it’s essential for leaders and businesses alike to remain informed and adaptable. Here’s why: - **Market Implications**: Increased scrutiny and confrontational tactics towards China could lead to tighter trade regulations and economic sanctions. This scenario may disrupt supply chains, influence market volatility, and impact global growth positively or negatively. - **Diplomatic Strategy**: Countries may push for cohesive diplomatic measures to counteract China's influence, fostering alliances and bilateral agreements aimed at preserving regional stability and economic interests. - **Business Adaptations**: Companies with extensive reliance on Chinese markets or supply chains should proactively explore diversification strategies. Establishing alternative suppliers or expanding into new markets may mitigate risks from potential policy changes. - **Technological Innovation**: Heightened tensions may drive increased investment in domestic technologies as nations strive for self-sufficiency. Innovation hubs and tech startups could experience exponential growth, fostering technological advancements and new market opportunities. In embracing a proactive approach, here’s what businesses can consider: 1. **Risk Assessment**: Identify critical dependencies on Chinese imports and exports. Understanding these dependencies can help formulate strategic responses to potential disruptions. 2. **Scenario Planning**: Develop contingency plans that address various geopolitical scenarios. This ensures readiness to pivot operations as needed. 3. **Stakeholder Engagement**: Build and maintain open communication channels with key stakeholders to foster collaboration and alignment in response strategies. 4. **Invest in Intelligence**: Leverage geopolitical risk analytics and market intelligence to stay ahead of potential shifts. Informed decision-making will be crucial in navigating evolving landscapes. Ultimately, what remains paramount is the agility and foresight to adapt to these changes. The global landscape is increasingly interconnected, and collective resilience will be the keystone for enduring and thriving amid geopolitical uncertainties. #Geopolitics #ChinaUkraine #EconomicPolicies #GlobalTrade #SupplyChain #BusinessStrategy #TechInnovation #RiskManagement

In 2023, China recorded a 30-year low in foreign investment. This global special report looks at the trajectory of “de-risking,” or the gradual rollback of foreign firms’ operations from China. It examines the various factors, domestic and geopolitical, that are likely to underpin such trends in the year ahead. Download the report to understand the forces shaping de-risking trends in China and their potential impact on global investment strategies >> https://hubs.ly/Q02rD62h0 #DeRiskingChina #ForeignInvestment #GlobalEconomics #InvestmentTrends

China’s stuttering growth risks fuelling its belligerent foreign policy Late last year, Moody’s downgraded China’s sovereign credit rating. On Wednesday Fitch followed suit. Predictably, Beijing responded with “disappointment” and rebutted the implicit critique of their economy. There is now a clear contradiction between realistic Western views on the headwinds facing Chinese growth, and Beijing’s public claims that all is...

The relationship between the US and China is undergoing a significant transformation, marked by a shift towards economic decoupling. This process, resulting from geopolitical tensions and policy changes, aims to disentangle the deeply intertwined economic relations that have existed between the two superpowers for decades. Find out the impacts and implications in our latest article. Subscribe now to access the exclusive content. #USChinaRelations #GlobalEconomy #EconomicDecoupling Subscribe to our daily newsletter here: https://lnkd.in/e2CXdTaK

In the face of a remade global order driven by U.S.-China rivalry, some nations are deliberately choosing not to pick sides. By maintaining economic and strategic relationships with both superpowers, they aim to enhance their own national interests, preserve autonomy, and navigate a path that maximizes opportunities while mitigating risks. This approach reflects a pragmatic response to the shifting dynamics of international relations in the 21st century. https://lnkd.in/d5PZH2HE