We're inching closer to the edge of the enrollment cliff. To navigate this challenge--driven by an 18-year trend of declining birth rates---higher education must become more accessible, affordable, and supportive for potential and current students. With fewer high schoolers and more adults needing credentials, a streamlined system is vital for workforce readiness. How are you preparing for the drop?
Lumina Foundation’s Post
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📉 WICHE's latest report highlights critical shifts in U.S. high school graduate trends, with implications for education, workforce development, and beyond. Here are the key takeaways: 1️⃣ Regional Nuances: The decline in high school graduates is far from uniform. Midwestern & Northeastern states are already seeing declines. Southern states will experience growth, followed by slight decreases. Western states are expected to align with national projections. Only 10 states will see growth beyond the 2025 peak. 2️⃣ Declining Elementary Enrollment: The root cause? A combination of homeschooling, reduced immigration, and disengagement (e.g., chronic absenteeism). The latest projections estimate 750,000 fewer graduates by 2037 compared to pre-COVID forecasts. 💡 How is your organization adapting to these shifting trends? #EducationTrends #HigherEd #Diversity #FutureWorkforce
We're inching closer to the edge of the enrollment cliff. To navigate this challenge--driven by an 18-year trend of declining birth rates---higher education must become more accessible, affordable, and supportive for potential and current students. With fewer high schoolers and more adults needing credentials, a streamlined system is vital for workforce readiness. How are you preparing for the drop?
Teetering on the edge: The enrollment cliff nears as higher education hangs in the balance
https://www.luminafoundation.org
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Great insights from Lumina (love their work). While the projected 13% decline through 2041 is concerning, we need to focus on three key opportunities: 1) Investing in professional development to better serve our increasingly diverse student populations, 2) Creating smoother pathways for post-traditional adult learners to convert non-academic credits and continue their education, and 3) Addressing the heightened competition for traditional students - a critical factor that seems underexplored in the discussions I am seeing. If I'm missing those please point me in the right direction.
We're inching closer to the edge of the enrollment cliff. To navigate this challenge--driven by an 18-year trend of declining birth rates---higher education must become more accessible, affordable, and supportive for potential and current students. With fewer high schoolers and more adults needing credentials, a streamlined system is vital for workforce readiness. How are you preparing for the drop?
Teetering on the edge: The enrollment cliff nears as higher education hangs in the balance
https://www.luminafoundation.org
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Given the trends on the horizon, it is time to promote the adoption of apprenticeship degrees as a key solution for working learners. These degrees are affordable, workplace-based, and offer credit for work experience. Economic mobility and civic participation, while building locally-grown community-based workforces.
We're inching closer to the edge of the enrollment cliff. To navigate this challenge--driven by an 18-year trend of declining birth rates---higher education must become more accessible, affordable, and supportive for potential and current students. With fewer high schoolers and more adults needing credentials, a streamlined system is vital for workforce readiness. How are you preparing for the drop?
Teetering on the edge: The enrollment cliff nears as higher education hangs in the balance
https://www.luminafoundation.org
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At Future Forward CT, we’re tackling this challenge head-on. Partnering with Southern New Hampshire University, we offer an accelerated and affordable degree pathway designed specifically for adults looking to gain the credentials needed to meet Connecticut’s growing job market demands. With fewer traditional students, making higher education accessible for adult learners isn’t just important- it's essential. Our streamlined program supports students every step of the way, ensuring they can earn a degree that’s accessible, flexible, affordable, and aligned with workforce needs. Together, we’re building pathways to close the degree attainment gap and strengthening our state’s workforce readiness. What are your thoughts on this challenge? #HigherEd #AdultLearners #WorkforceDevelopment #FutureForwardCT
We're inching closer to the edge of the enrollment cliff. To navigate this challenge--driven by an 18-year trend of declining birth rates---higher education must become more accessible, affordable, and supportive for potential and current students. With fewer high schoolers and more adults needing credentials, a streamlined system is vital for workforce readiness. How are you preparing for the drop?
Teetering on the edge: The enrollment cliff nears as higher education hangs in the balance
https://www.luminafoundation.org
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New higher education enrollment numbers: a mixed bag. https://lnkd.in/e844k45M.
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The Chronicle for Higher Education says: Nationally, the population of high-school graduates is expected to peak at just over 3.9 million in 2025. After that, projections start to fall every year for at least a dozen years. Does you college have a three year strategic plan that shows you have the liquidity necessary to maintain vitality?? Getzler Henrich can help, email me to open a conversation at: BWeil@Getzlerhenrich.com
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I invite you to read my thoughts about “Why Top Down Reforms are Failing our Schools,” at the The W. Edwards Deming Institute. It explores reasons why well-intended legislated top-down approaches often fall short in education and highlights the need for systemic, collaborative change. https://lnkd.in/gPXB3cR2
Why Top-Down Reforms Are Failing Our Schools
https://deming.org
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If policymakers set the demand for inputs into public education to be low relative to the socially optimal level of investment in public education (by not allocating enough funding for public schools), shortages are easy to avoid.
Today’s teacher shortage is just the tip of the iceberg: Part II
https://www.epi.org
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Discover why private schools are seeing a spike in enrollment! From meeting parent demands to navigating the culture wars, find out what's driving this upward trend in education. Learn more from the article by Cato Institute. https://lnkd.in/em_t5AAf
Enrollment Up at 46% of Private Schools
nboa.org
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Our 2023 Private School Enrollment Survey indicates that private education continues to grow. However, the average increase and share of schools experiencing one have declined from the previous two years, potentially indicating a waning COVID-19 enrollment boost.
Survey: 46 Percent of Private Schools See Enrollment Rise
cato.org
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Senior Director, Data & Strategic Initiatives, National College Attainment Network (NCAN)
1dJust want to bring up that there are about ***37 million some college, no credential students in America***, more than twice the number enrolled across higher ed in spring 2024. The declining number of high school seniors in the pipeline is concerning for higher ed institutions, but there are literally millions of people across the country who have already previously signaled demand to consume postsecondary education. If institutions can 1. Retain more of the students they admit (we know the models that work if we can put in the effort to scale them), and 2. Provide more on-ramps for students who are SCNC, meeting these students where they are in terms of flexibility and experience It would go a long way toward shoring up the pipeline concerns instititions have. https://nscresearchcenter.org/some-college-no-credential/ (Cross-posted from Jeff Selingo’s comment thread)