A national security & human rights lawyer, Fellow at Arabian Peninsula Institute, Fellow at Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs. Board Member at The Washington Outsider Center for Information Warfare
I joined @KAN REKA - КАН РЭКА to discuss US #ElectionDay2024 and its impacts on the future of the US #foreignpolicy. Some of the observations I made: * the observable political trends are both a backlash against #Democrats but also actively favor #Republicans. I mentioned the importance of the Republican takeover of the #SEnate and the role of the latter on the legislative end of #foreignpolicy. I also explained why the news stations were slow to project a presidential winner and why the count was taking so long. I also discussed the impact of the early voters and the difference between in-person voting, absentee ballots, and mail-in ballots. * I also noted Mark Robinson's disastrous loss in North Carolina and why the local voters opted to split their votes, rather than voting up and down the ballots. I underscored that state politics and national #Politics are quite distinct, and that it was an unforced error by the Republicans to keep his nomination after his scandalous past was fully uncovered. * I also discussed the potential for #DonaldTrump's first 100 days in office, which, in terms of foreign policy will most certainly include #Ukraine, #Gaza and #Lebanon, restoring the freedom of navigation in the #RedSea, #bordersecurity, and #Iran-related matters, and of course the imposition of #tariffs on #Imports from #China, as well as various #security matters related to the #PRC. I explained that if both houses of Congress go red, #Trump will have no real resistance in pushing through his agenda on most issues. * I mentioned the prospects for overturning #Obamacare and explained that is not likely to happen, first because it is clearly not one of #Trump's or #GOP priorities, based on the campaign rhetoric, and second, because as became clear from his own admission during the #KamalaHarris debate, he only has a concept of a plan, which could take a while to work out, especially among competing priorities. I added that during his first term, when #Obamacare was much more of a heated issue and #Trump had full control of Congress in the first two years, Republicans failed to come up with a worthy substitute. I do not foresee the second term going differently. If there are any changes, they will be revisions and that part of the agenda will not come into play until later on, after top priorities are met. * I added that while #foreignpolicy is not a top priority for US voters, there is a cross-section between foreign and domestic issues that is likely to come up early on, and likely will be handled quickly with a GOP-controlled Congress, and that is the issue of hostile foreign financing of US #education - both primary and college education, which has become a huge concern for Republicans but also for others, due to the sheer amount of money being poured and apparently linked to a hostile extremist and antisemitic atmosphere.
A national security & human rights lawyer, Fellow at Arabian Peninsula Institute, Fellow at Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs. Board Member at The Washington Outsider Center for Information Warfare
2mo* I also added that NYT reporting of #Trump's high likelihood of victory underscored that his win was indisputable since the Times has no incentive to elevate #Trump's results; if anything, it would be more advantageous to underplay them.