Overconfidence Bias: A silent yet powerful force that drives us to overestimate our abilities, knowledge, and the accuracy of our predictions. It’s the reason we sometimes make bold decisions without fully considering the risks—whether it’s forecasting financial markets, making strategic moves in business, or even tackling a personal project. This bias often blinds us to uncertainty and limits our ability to see the full picture. But what causes overconfidence, and why does it have such a strong grip on our decision-making? By exploring the psychology behind this bias, we uncover the subtle ways it shapes our judgments, often leading to costly mistakes. Understanding overconfidence is the first step toward making smarter, more informed choices in a complex and unpredictable world.
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Humans are naturally predisposed to some attitudes and behaviours which can close us off from good choices. 🤔 Have you ever experienced the weight of bias in decision-making and how it can contribute to a mediocrity cycle? Share your thoughts and experiences below.
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How many mistakes are caused by assumptions? Far too many - Assumptions are silent disruptors – They can sabotage your work and relationships without you even realizing it. Assumptions fill in the gaps, but rarely with accuracy. And when we act on them, it costs us 🔴 Trust 🔴 Time 🔴 Results Consider this:
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Have you ever made a decision only to realize later it was influenced by bias? You're not alone. In my latest blog post, I break down the six most common biases that shape our decision-making and offer practical tips for overcoming them. Whether you're in business, technology, or just want to improve your everyday choices, understanding these biases can make a huge difference. Read more and start making clearer, more objective decisions today. https://lnkd.in/eRajwKKa #biases #decisionmaking #selfawareness
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The hindsight bias describes our tendency to look back at an unpredictable event and think it was easily predictable. It is also called the “knew-it-all-along” effect. this bias gets in the way by distorting the internal track-record we have of our past predictions. This can lead to overly confident future predictions that justify risky decisions with bad outcomes in both our personal and professional lives. More broadly, the hindsight bias prevents us from learning from our experiences. If we already feel that we knew something all along
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Recency bias refers to the cognitive distortion where people give undue weight to recent events or experiences over more distant ones when making decisions or judgments. This can lead to skewed perceptions and decisions based on the most recent information, rather than a comprehensive view of all relevant data. For example, in investing, recency bias might cause individuals to overemphasize recent market trends and ignore long-term historical performance. Awareness of recency bias is crucial for making more balanced and informed decisions. Always Plan for unfavorable outcomes in the journey of Long term Wealth Creation!
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Uncovering the Six Common Biases That Shape Our Decisions and How to Overcome Them
https://oakwoodexperience.com
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Picture this: You're confident about acing a test, only to find out you barely passed. Welcome to the realm of overconfidence bias, where our belief in our abilities exceeds reality. This cognitive quirk leads us to overestimate our skills, knowledge, or judgments, often with detrimental consequences. For instance, investors may overestimate their ability to predict market trends, leading to risky financial decisions. Recognizing this bias is the first step to mitigating its impact, prompting us to seek feedback, consider alternative viewpoints, and approach decisions with a healthy dose of humility. After all, even the most confident among us can benefit from a reality check. There is recency bias in my post 😂😭🤪
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Don't miss our final workshop of the year, CQ Your Bias! Through this event, you will learn how to: - Understand why bias matters - Recognize sources of explicit and implicit/unconscious bias - Identify systemic bias in our organizations/institutions - Practice culturally intelligent strategies to disrupt bias Sign up now: https://lnkd.in/gainKFRJ #personaldevelopment #CulturalIntelligence
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