Chetwood Financial Limited’s Post

“Inflation cooled to 2.5% in August.” Anytime I hear a static number, I want to know more. The 2.5% is representative of monthly inflation vs. 1 year ago. 2% is the benchmark most economists point to as “healthy”. What always interests me is the underlying data & historical trends. From this perspective, inflation has cooled 2.5% from one year ago, however it’s up 22% since January 2020. Always helpful to look at things with a long term view.

Inflation data in 2024 has dashed hopes of falling interest rates. While a decline seemed likely in late 2023, economic data, particularly inflation figures, has shown unexpected persistence. This has led to frustration as both the Federal Reserve and the market anticipated a quicker drop in rates. This week's economic data release further solidified the notion that rates will stay high as inflation remains a top concern. Read more here - https://lnkd.in/g_VuaFbq

February PCE Report: U.S. Core Inflation In-Line With Expectations The data comes as this year's economic indicators show a resilient economy, especially the labor market, with hotter-than-expected inflation. https://lnkd.in/gPD4Y4kD via Barron's

Where is Inflation Headed? The below chart is from my December Edition of my United States Economic Forecast. To receive my full analysis on inflation and other economic matters, subscribe to my Robinson Advisory Investment Newsletter... The November 2024 U.S. inflation report indicates a slight uptick in consumer prices, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising to 2.7% year-over-year, up from October's 2.6%. On a monthly basis, the CPI increased by 0.3%, surpassing economists' expectations of a 0.2% rise. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, remained steady at 3.3% year-over-year.  Amos B Robinson | https://lnkd.in/eU3bfJJx

Your country is here: Mapped: Inflation Projections by Country, in 2024

Markets restore calm with all eyes now U.S. inflation data this week Markets have stabilized after recent volatility, with investors now focusing on upcoming U.S. inflation data expected later this week. This data will be crucial in guiding expectations for Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions. The market’s calm may be temporary, as the inflation report could trigger significant moves depending on whether it meets, exceeds, or fails short of forecasts. All eyes are on how this data will shape the economic outlook and policy responses.

January inflation and spending data implies more noise than trend. Read more from RSM U.S. economist Tuan Nguyen.

January inflation and spending data implies more noise than trend. Read more from RSM U.S. economist Tuan Nguyen.

January inflation and spending data implies more noise than trend. Read more from RSM U.S. economist Tuan Nguyen.

Global Inflation Forecasts FY2024 and Key Takeaways for the United States: -US inflation was unchanged at 3.3% in May, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. -Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says the US is back on a disinflationary path. -The US inflation projections for 2024 suggest it will be closer to 2% later this year. -Interest rates aren’t expected to fall until there’s more confidence in falling inflation. -Many analysts believe that markets are currently pricing in two interest rate cuts before the end of 2024 (to be determined).