Tropical Storm Milton Update From the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center (Valid 12Z Sun Oct 06 2024 - 12Z Tue Oct 08 2024) AR-MEDCOM Soldiers: If you are unable to reach your chain of command, use this channel to connect with your unit. ...Tropical Storm Milton continues to intensify over the southwest Gulf of Mexico and is expected to move northeastward towards the Florida Gulf Coast...Very heavy rainfall well ahead of Tropical Storm Milton will arrive across the Florida Peninsula and Keys, bringing the threat of flash flooding...Showers and thunderstorms expected for portions of the interior Northeast Sunday with the threat for some large hail and damaging winds...Record-breaking heat will continue across California and the Southwest through the remainder of the weekend and into early next week...Tropical Storm Milton continues to intensify in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and is currently forecast by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to move northeastward towards the Gulf Coast of Florida, with a possible landfall on Wednesday. However, potentially significant flooding impacts are expected well ahead of the storm as anomalously moist tropical air and instability increase south of a wavy frontal boundary draped across the Florida Peninsula. There is now a Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 3/4) Sunday over South Florida for a more concentrated corridor of thunderstorms producing intense downpours with totals that could exceed 5". This will bring a more significant risk of scattered to numerous instances of flash flooding in urban areas. A Slight Risk (level 2/4) extends north along the Atlantic Coast and also west along the Gulf Coast through the central Peninsula for additional scattered instances of flash flooding. Another Slight Risk on Monday covers the Atlantic Coast of the central Peninsula as well as the southwestern Gulf Coast and South Florida as the threat for thunderstorms with very heavy rainfall and flash flooding continues. Follow the latest forecast from the NHC for updated information on the expected track and potential impacts mid-week.
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NOAA Update: Hurricane Milton - Category 5 ...MILTON BACK TO CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH... ...FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD GET THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES READY AND EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO... Key Messages: (Advisory 15: 4:00 PM CDT Tuesday, October 8, 2024) 1. A large area of destructive storm surge, with highest inundations of 10 ft or greater, is expected along a portion of the west-central coast of the Florida Peninsula. If you are in the Storm Surge Warning area, this is an extremely life-threatening situation, and you should evacuate today if ordered by local officials. There will likely not be enough time to wait to leave on Wednesday. 2. Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Milton is forecast to remain a hurricane as it crosses the Florida Peninsula and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula. Preparations to protect life and property, including being ready for long-duration power outages, should be complete by tonight. 3. Heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday brings the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. 4. Tropical storm conditions and a dangerous storm surge with destructive waves will continue across portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. En Español: https://lnkd.in/epsVchak... Hurricanes.gov/#Milton
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NOAA Update: Hurricane Milton - Category 5 ...MILTON BACK TO CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH... ...FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD GET THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES READY AND EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO... Key Messages: (Advisory 15: 4:00 PM CDT Tuesday, October 8, 2024) 1. A large area of destructive storm surge, with highest inundations of 10 ft or greater, is expected along a portion of the west-central coast of the Florida Peninsula. If you are in the Storm Surge Warning area, this is an extremely life-threatening situation, and you should evacuate today if ordered by local officials. There will likely not be enough time to wait to leave on Wednesday. 2. Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Milton is forecast to remain a hurricane as it crosses the Florida Peninsula and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula. Preparations to protect life and property, including being ready for long-duration power outages, should be complete by tonight. 3. Heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday brings the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. 4. Tropical storm conditions and a dangerous storm surge with destructive waves will continue across portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. En Español: https://lnkd.in/epsVchak... Hurricanes.gov/#Milton
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NOAA Update: Hurricane Milton - Category 5 ...MILTON BACK TO CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH... ...FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD GET THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES READY AND EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO... Key Messages: (Advisory 15: 4:00 PM CDT Tuesday, October 8, 2024) 1. A large area of destructive storm surge, with highest inundations of 10 ft or greater, is expected along a portion of the west-central coast of the Florida Peninsula. If you are in the Storm Surge Warning area, this is an extremely life-threatening situation, and you should evacuate today if ordered by local officials. There will likely not be enough time to wait to leave on Wednesday. 2. Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Milton is forecast to remain a hurricane as it crosses the Florida Peninsula and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula. Preparations to protect life and property, including being ready for long-duration power outages, should be complete by tonight. 3. Heavy rainfall across the Florida Peninsula through Thursday brings the risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flash and urban flooding along with moderate to major river flooding, especially in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall flood threat. 4. Tropical storm conditions and a dangerous storm surge with destructive waves will continue across portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. En Español: https://lnkd.in/epsVchak... Hurricanes.gov/#Milton
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From the Latest NHC discussion: Key Messages: 1. Damaging hurricane-force winds and a life-threatening storm surge with destructive waves are expected across portions of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula today. 2. Milton is expected to grow in size and remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it approaches the west coast of Florida on Wednesday. A large area of destructive storm surge will occur along parts of the west coast of Florida. This is an extremely life-threatening situation and residents in those areas should follow advice given by local officials and evacuate immediately if told to do so. 3. Devastating hurricane-force winds are expected along portions of the west coast of Florida, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect. Milton is forecast to remain a hurricane as it crosses the Florida Peninsula and life-threatening hurricane-force winds, especially in gusts, are expected to spread inland across the peninsula. Preparations to protect life and property in the warning areas should be complete by tonight. 4. Areas of heavy rainfall will continue to impact portions of Florida well ahead of Milton through early Thursday. This rainfall brings the risk of life-threatening flash, urban and aerial flooding along with moderate to major river flooding. Flooding will be exacerbated in areas where coastal and inland flooding combine to increase the overall threat. https://lnkd.in/g2-WkjVd?
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🌀 Attention IMGs in Florida!! Hurricane Helene is rapidly growing into an extremely large and destructive storm with life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds, and flood rains coming for a large part of Florida and the Southeastern United States. It is already as strong as Hurricane Beryl was when it made landfall in Southeast Texas, and it still has about a day and half left over very warm Gulf waters. A few bullet points: 1. Helen is expected to make landfall as an "Ike-sized" Gulf hurricane with tropical storm force winds extending nearly 300 miles from the center. Almost the entire state of Florida is now under a Hurricane Warning or Tropical Storm Warning with both Hurricane and Tropical Storm Warnings extended deep into Georgia as well. It's even possible hurricane-force wind gusts could reach as far inland as Atlanta, Georgia. 2. The large size of the storm is going to push a tremendous storm surge tide into the west coast of Florida and Florida's Big Bend. Even with the storm's center tracking well offshore from Tampa Bay. the surge is expected to reach up to 8 feet high there, which would make it the highest surge since the 1921 Tampa Bay Hurricane that brought an 11 foot high surge. Many buildings in and around Tampa Bay that have never flooded before will flood if this surge gets as high as expected, and local evacuation have begun. 3. A major rain event is expected for parts of the southern Appalachians Thursday and Friday with up to 15" of rain coming down. This could lead to considerable flash flooding and landslides. If I had loved ones in any of these areas, I would have a conversation with them ASAP to encourage them take this one seriously and heed all the advice of local emergency managers. Meanwhile, we are eyeing another potential storm threat in the Gulf of Mexico during the first week of October. Hurricane season ends November 30th. From my favorite meteorologist, Travis Herzog
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⚠️Inclement Weather Update⚠️ We’re closely watching Hurricane Milton which is expected to impact our area late Wednesday or early Thursday. The National Hurricane Center predicts it will become a major hurricane today. Landfall is expected Wednesday by Longboat Key. The current track shows the center passing through Lake Alfred where it is expected to take a slight turn to the south and exit the peninsula near Cape Canaveral. After landfall, the storm is predicted to quickly weaken and could be a category 1 storm as it impacts our area. The current track shows us on the weaker side of the storm. We now are predicted to get 6-8″ of rain, with a 40% chance of flash flooding. There is a 50-60% chance of sustained winds of 40mph+ starting Wednesday morning. We want to assure you the safety and comfort of our residents is our top priority. Our dedicated team started over the weekend completing tasks on detailed checklists to ensure we are fully prepared. We have ample food and water and have backup generators for our healthcare areas as required by law. As the storm approaches, there may be watches and warnings issued. A flood watch for our area (for rains not connected to Milton) is in place. We will continue to update this information as the situation changes. As is common with these types of storms, the weather service may issue severe thunderstorm or tornado watches or warnings as these bands move through the area. These are not the same as tropical storm or hurricane watches or warnings. All residents and employees are safe and secure.
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The forecast track for Milton has shifted slightly north since the previous update. Impacts to South Carolina from Hurricane Milton are possible beginning Wednesday, including gusty winds south and east of I-20, rain along the immediate coast, and an increasing concern of significant coastal flooding. The exact extent of impacts will depend on the eventual track of Milton, and a more northern track would bring stronger winds, steady rain, and a higher risk of coastal flooding. The timing of arrival of potential tropical storm-force winds is late Wednesday into early Thursday. ...MILTON CONTINUING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY.. ...FORECAST TO BECOME A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... At 11am EDT, Hurricane Milton was located 1,000 miles southwest of Beaufort, SC with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph and a minimum central pressure of 933 mb. Milton is moving toward the east-southeast near 9 mph. On the forecast track, Milton is forecast to move near or just north of the Yucatan Peninsula today and Tuesday, then cross the eastern Gulf of Mexico and approach the west coast of the Florida Peninsula by Wednesday. Data from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 155 mph with higher gusts. Milton is a category 4 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Milton is forecast to become a category 5 Hurricane later today and become a large Hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities Beaufort, SC - 20% Charleston, SC - 16% Georgetown, SC - 6% Myrtle Beach, SC - 10% Little River, SC - 9%
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Hurricane Helene Latest Updates: 🔸 A hurricane watch has been issued for Florida’s western coastline, stretching from Indian Pass to Englewood, including Tampa Bay. 🔸 Storm surges as high as 15 feet are expected, putting coastal areas at risk of severe flooding. 🔸 Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is expected to strengthen into Hurricane Helene by Wednesday as it moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico. 🔸 The system is currently located 150 miles west of Grand Cayman, moving northwest at 9 mph, with sustained winds of 35 mph. Areas Affected: 📍 Florida: A hurricane watch is in effect for the entire western coast, while storm surge watches extend from Indian Pass to Flamingo. 📍 Cuba & Mexico: A hurricane watch is in place from Cabo Catoche to Tulum in eastern Mexico, and Pinar del Río in Cuba, with both regions expecting heavy rainfall (up to 12 inches) and dangerous storm surges. 📍 Lower Florida Keys: Under a tropical storm watch, with heavy rains and strong winds expected to impact the area by Thursday. 📍 Southeastern U.S.: Areas from Florida to the Carolinas could experience 3-6 inches of rain, localized flooding, and damaging winds as Helene tracks inland through Friday. What to Expect: 🔹 Storm surges: Coastal flooding is expected along much of the Florida Gulf Coast and could extend to parts of Georgia and South Carolina as the storm pushes northward. 🔹 Heavy rainfall: Flash flooding risks in Cuba, Florida, and other southeastern U.S. states, with rain totals reaching up to 10 inches in isolated areas. 🔹 Hurricane-force winds: Likely to impact coastal and inland regions, with widespread power outages and downed trees possible. Landry Logistics Is Ready to Assist! With Hurricane Helene threatening multiple regions, from Florida’s Gulf Coast to the southeastern U.S., Landry Logistics is prepared to assist with disaster relief operations. Our team is mobilizing to provide reliable transportation services, including expedited shipments and flatbed transport, to deliver vital supplies where they’re needed most. 📩 info@landrylogistics.org | 🌐 www.landrylogistics.org #hurricane #stormnews #HurricaneHelene #floridahurricane #stormrelief #naturaldisaster #DisasterRelief #logisticsprovider
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The National Hurricane Center has started issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight (PTC 8; Helene if named). South Carolina will see impacts from PTC 8 beginning tonight. Tropical storm force winds are expected in coastal South Carolina late tonight and continuing throughout the day tomorrow. On the current forecast track, PTC 8 is expected to make landfall in South Carolina tomorrow afternoon as a tropical storm, bringing gusty winds (around 50mph at landfall), rain (3 to 6 inches, locally up to 8 inches), and surge (1 to 3 feet along the coast). Flash flooding is also possible, particularly in the Pee Dee, Grand Strand, and parts of the eastern and northern Midlands. ...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND COASTAL FLOODING... At 5pm EDT, Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight was centered 125 miles east-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina. Data from the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters support maximum sustained winds of 45 mph and a minimum central pressure of 1006 mb. The disturbance is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of the system should reach the coast within the warning area on Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area beginning late tonight. Some strengthening is possible before the system makes landfall. Tropical Storm Warning * Edisto Beach, South Carolina northward to Ocracoke Inlet, North Carolina Storm Surge - Heights above ground * South Santee River, SC to Oregon Inlet, NC - 1-3 ft Rainfall Through Wednesday, Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight will bring: * Northeast SC and the NC coastal plain: 3 to 6 inches, locally 8 inches This rainfall could lead to isolated to scattered flash and urban flooding, along with minor river flooding. Tropical Storm Wind Probabilities: Beaufort, SC - 24% Charleston, SC - 56% Georgetown, SC - 79% Myrtle Beach, SC - 75% Little River, SC - 70% Florence, SC - 51%
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NHC warns Milton will be among the most destructive storms on record for west-central Florida Hurricane Milton has the potential to be one of the most destructive hurricanes on record for west-central Florida, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has warned ahead of the storm's expected landfall tomorrow. Milton is currently a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 155 mph, having undergone an eyewall replacement overnight. The storm previously became one of the strongest on record in the Atlantic Basin, with maximum sustained winds reaching 180 mph late yesterday as it became the second Category 5 hurricane of the 2024 Atlantic season. Milton is likely to regain Category 5 intensity today, although increased wind shear will lead to some weakening before it reaches the Florida coastline. However, a further eyewall replacement cycle will likely lead to an expansion of Milton's destructive inner core ahead of landfall. The storm's landfall location will be critical in determining the extent of damage, with any slight northward or southward shifts having significant implications from a loss perspective. A hit just to the north of Tampa remains a worst-case scenario as it would funnel the storm's strongest winds and surge into Tampa Bay. "Tampa Bay is one of the most hurricane-vulnerable cities in the US due to its large waterfront population, valuable property, and a bay that acts as a funnel for storm surge," explained BMS senior meteorologist Andrew Siffert. "A worst-case scenario would involve a landfall just north of the Bay's mouth, where the storm's circulation would push water into every inlet and corner," he added. "If a Category 3 storm tracks just a few miles south, it would spare the Bay but flood Longboat Key instead." PRAYERS TO ALL WHO ARE IN THE PATH OF HURRICANE MILTON !!!!
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