minware reposted this
2024 was the year of reckoning for AI. My most-read posts by far (50k and 20k impressions for #1/#2 vs. 5k for #3) were about how AI is only as good as a very junior engineer, and how we’d be better off automating easier tasks (like labeling Jira tickets) than hard ones (like building software). My friends and family range from total disdain (“I hate the tab suggestions in gmail — I know what I want to write!”) to extreme optimism (“AI can’t replace software engineers today, but just wait until next year!”) LLMs are unquestionably the most powerful advancement in computer science in the past decade, but are clouded by hype. People don’t understand how to use them yet, and many billions of venture capital are flushing down the drain in a wave of FOMO and euphoria. In 2025, winners will emerge who use this new tool well, and those running on hype capital with vague promises of replacing engineers will be seen for what they are. Which side are you on?